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The Best Dividend ETF to Buy as Washington Stalls

Shutdowns happen, but markets hold up. This ETF will help you ride it out.

Even though we’ve been through this before, the U.S. government shutdown can be an unsettling time. Swaths of federal employees are off the job — or still working but not being paid — and it’s unclear how long the deadlock will last.

At the same time, it’s scary for non-government workers, too. We rely on the government for Social Security checks, Medicare, Medicaid, veterans’ benefits, and for much-needed services such as air traffic control.

People will still get their checks and veterans’ benefits, but some services will be delayed. And travelers are already reporting delays and cancelled flights at airports.

Fortunately, the stock market has a history of holding its own during a government shutdown. Keeping your money in the market has traditionally been a smart move. And if you’re worried about making sure you have a steady flow of income, a dividend exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG -1.92%) can be a good option.

Mount Rushmore with a fence and a

Image source: Getty Images.

About the Vanguard ETF

First, it’s important to understand why the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF includes the stocks it does. And to do that, you have to understand the principles of the underlying index, which is the Nasdaq US Dividend Achievers Select Index.

This index includes companies that are on the Nasdaq US Broad Dividend Achievers Index, with some important exceptions. First, it excludes the top 25% of companies in the index by dividend yield. That’s to make sure the Nasdaq US Dividend Achievers Select Index doesn’t have unstable companies with dividends that are artificially high because their businesses are unstable.

And second, the fund excludes all master limited partnerships and real estate investment trusts. Lastly, it only includes companies that have increased their dividend annually for at least 10 consecutive years.

The stocks left make up the Nasdaq US Dividend Achievers Select Index, and those names are skewed toward the technology, industrial, and financial sectors, which account for a collective 64% of the fund.

That’s the index that the Vanguard ETF strives to duplicate, so you can find the same breakdown by stock and sector in it. The top 10 holdings are all blue chip names, with no stock having more than a 6% weighting.

Holding

Portfolio Weight

1-Year Return

Dividend Yield

Broadcom

5.95%

91.2%

0.70%

Microsoft

4.8%

27.8%

0.69%

JPMorgan Chase

4%

49%

1.95%

Apple

3.7%

13.6%

0.41%

Eli Lilly

2.8%

-4.1%

0.71%

Visa

2.7%

26.5%

0.67%

ExxonMobil

2.4%

-5.3%

3.47%

Mastercard

2.3%

16.9%

0.52%

Johnson & Johnson

2.1%

20.5%

2.75%

Walmart

2%

28%

0.91%

Source: Morningstar

Only two of these companies in the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF’s top 10 are in the red after 12 months. That’s the beauty of an ETF: Rather than trying to guess the one or two best stocks to buy, you get an entire bushel of them with the Vanguard ETF.

The other thing I really like about this ETF is that it gives you a good mix of performance and yield. Compared to some other popular dividend ETFs, it provides the best one-year performance, with a gain of 10%. Combine that with a dividend yield of 1.6%, and you get a nice total return from Vanguard Dividend Appreciation.

VIG Chart

VIG data by YCharts.

The bottom line

Yes, this can be an unsettling time, and it’s only natural to make sure that you’re investing in a fund that can provide you with some guaranteed quarterly income, especially if you’re worried that you’re going to have to cover a shortfall by another source.

The Vanguard Divided Appreciation ETF provides the best combination of dividend payout and one-year performance. And when you also consider that it has a low expense ratio of only 0.05%, or $5 annually per $10,000 invested, then I’m comfortable parking funds here while waiting for the government to restart.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Patrick Sanders has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, JPMorgan Chase, Mastercard, Microsoft, Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF, Vanguard Whitehall Funds-Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF, Visa, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and Johnson & Johnson and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Should You Buy XRP While It’s Under $4?

This coin has a very long runway for growth, and it’s making inroads.

Today, XRP (XRP -13.05%) is priced at about $3. Depending on your perspective, that number could sound high or low. So is it worth buying the coin before it hits $4, and does it actually have a realistic chance of doing that?

Let’s dive in and figure it out.

One investor sits and another investor stands while the sitting investor consults four screens displaying stock price data.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why the sub-$4 range is attractive

XRP’s recent price means that getting to $4 is not going to take a moonshot. Considering that the coin is up by 34% this year so far, it might even hit the target before the end of the year if its momentum picks up steam. But let’s zoom out to look at the trends that are likely to power further demand.

On that front, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is the process of representing ownership of assets like stocks, commodities, and real estate in a crypto token managed on a blockchain so that they can be cheaply and quickly transferred or traced. Across public chains, tokenized RWAs are worth $33.5 billion and still climbing, so this is not just a fad anymore.

So where does the XRP Ledger (XRPL) fit? The XRP Ledger’s RWA footprint has been expanding quickly, with roughly $365 million in tokenized assets, up 12% during the 30-day period ended Oct. 8. Its roster of RWAs now includes notable asset platforms and issuers you would recognize from institutional investor circles.

In particular, U.S. Treasuries are the on-chain beachhead for financial institutions, and XRP is starting to have them in spades, with $170 million in value parked today, up by an impressive 26% during the past 30 days alone. And, critically, Ripple’s enterprise-targeted stablecoin, RLUSD (RLUSD -0.04%), launched on the XRPL with regulatory approval in December 2024, giving XRPL a native settlement rail that institutions can actually use alongside those Treasuries. RLUSD’s market cap is more than $791 million today, with its monthly transfer volume at roughly $5.3 billion and rising rapidly month over month.

Those assets make the XRPL a much better place to do business for the financial institutions that are looking to manage their capital and process their transactions on-chain. When paired with Ripple’s good relationships with international banks and currency exchange houses, it’s a strong cocktail of positive forces for further adoption of XRP as a financial tool.

In other words, big pipes for money are being laid right where and how the holders of large volumes of capital prefer to do business. If that process continues — and Ripple is deeply invested in making sure that it does — the sub-$4 window for XRP will feel like an obvious purchase in hindsight.

What could go wrong

XRP is thus worth buying while it’s less than $4. But that does not guarantee it will get there or that its price will subsequently go even higher if it does. A few things need to happen for the coin’s upward march to continue.

First, the XRPL’s systems and capabilities must continue growing, and Ripple’s marketing efforts must keep succeeding broadly. That means getting more RWA issuers opting in, larger portfolios of tokenized treasuries and funds, and deeper integrations that reduce operational drag for the regulatory compliance teams at big banks and asset managers.

Second, RLUSD adoption needs to broaden so that more institutional flows settle on XRPL rather than detouring to other rails where liquidity is deeper. Ripple has been explicit about building toward lending, identity verification, and other features to simplify the process of doing regulatory-compliant tokenization, but it needs to maintain its consistent execution for the chain to continue being successful.

Assuming those tailwinds persist, getting XRP from roughly $3 to $4 and beyond is very doable, particularly in a market cycle where broader crypto risk appetite remains positive.

Alex Carchidi has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Has Rocket Lab’s Stock Peaked?

The aerospace company now trades at close to 60 times its trailing revenue.

After a stock skyrockets by around 500% in just 12 months, as Rocket Lab (RKLB -3.21%) has, it’s only natural to wonder if it rose too quickly, and in so doing, has become too overvalued to safely invest in.

The aerospace company has been experiencing tremendous growth in recent years, and investors remain bullish about its potential for even more growth ahead due to its larger new Neutron rocket, which will open up more opportunities for the business in the long run. But with the company’s market cap now hovering around $28 billion, has too much expected growth been priced into the stock? Could shares of Rocket Lab be due for a big decline?

People working on a rocket launch.

Image source: Getty Images.

Rocket Lab’s stock carries an incredibly high premium

Although Rocket Lab’s business has been growing in recent years, so too have its losses. From 2021 through 2024, its revenue rose from just $62 million to more than $436 million. Its losses didn’t increase at nearly as rapid a pace, but they did rise from $117 million to $190 million.

When a company is in a rapid-growth phase, it’s not usually worried as much about keeping costs in check — the priority is the top line. In that context, short-term losses can be justifiable. But with Rocket Lab, investors are also paying a massive premium; the stock trades at close to 60 times its trailing revenue and 40 times its book value. Paying high multiples for stock can be warranted when there’s low risk and a lot of future growth expected, but Rocket Lab is far from a safe buy given its current levels and its lack of profitability.

Back in 2021, when it first went public, there was plenty of hype around Rocket Lab’s business, but it wasn’t trading at the mammoth premium that it is today.

RKLB PS Ratio Chart

RKLB PS Ratio data by YCharts.

The company may not be out of growth catalysts just yet

Despite the stock’s high valuation, one factor could still drive it higher: the company’s Neutron rocket. It’s a partially reusable rocket that can carry significantly larger payloads than Rocket Lab’s current Electron rocket. A successful inaugural launch will be a huge milestone for the business, which could lead to even more excitement around this already scorching-hot stock — and unlock more contract opportunities.

That event could, however, also turn into a sell-the-news moment where investors buy up the stock amid the chatter leading up to the launch, and then sell shares right when they might be around their peak, which might happen if and when a successful launch takes place. This is one of the risks with buying speculative stocks — their movements are extremely difficult to predict.

According to analysts, the stock is already heavily overvalued. The consensus 12-month price target of a little more than $42 is 27% lower than the current price. However, a successful Neutron launch could spark a wave of price-target upgrades from analysts.

Rocket Lab is a high-risk, high-potential-reward stock

This week, Rocket Lab’s stock hit a new 52-week high, proving that it’s not running out of steam just yet. And it may hold its momentum as the excitement builds around the upcoming Neutron launch. The closer that gets, the more the stock may rally.

Rocket Lab’s fundamentals, however, don’t support its inflated valuation, and the danger is that with expectations being as high as they are, there is plenty of room for disappointment and for the stock to fall significantly in value. Although it may not have peaked just yet, that doesn’t mean it’s a good buy at its current price. Unless you have a high risk tolerance, you’d probably be better off investing in a more reasonably priced growth stock than Rocket Lab.

David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Rocket Lab. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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DKM Loads Up on QQQ With 7,900 Shares Worth $4.8 Million

On October 10, 2025, DKM Wealth Management, Inc. disclosed a new position in Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1, acquiring 7,935 shares for an estimated $4.76 million in Q3 2025.

What happened

According to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 10, 2025, DKM Wealth Management, Inc. initiated a position in Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ -3.46%), purchasing approximately 7,935 shares in Q3 2025. The estimated transaction value is $4,763,936 in Q3 2025. This brings the fund’s total QQQ position to $4.76 million, with no prior holding reported last quarter.

What else to know

This is a new position for the fund, now accounting for 3.8% of DKM Wealth Management, Inc.’s $124.58 million in reportable U.S. equity assets in Q3 2025.

Top holdings after the filing:

  • (NASDAQ:TBLD): $18.72 million (15.0% of AUM) in Q3 2025
  • (NYSEMKT:TCAF): $14,341,015 (11.5113% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • (NYSE:SOR): $12.86 million (10.3% of AUM) in Q3 2025
  • (NYSEMKT:GRNY): $9.22 million (7.4% of AUM) in Q3 2025
  • (NYSEMKT:ITOT): $7,186,455 (5.7685% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025

As of October 9, 2025, shares of Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 were priced at $610.70, up 23.84% for the year through October 9, 2025, outperforming the S&P 500 by 8.38 percentage points

Company overview

Metric Value
AUM $385.76 Billion
Price (as of market close 2025-10-09) $610.70
Dividend yield 0.48%
1-year total return 23.84%

Company snapshot

The investment strategy seeks to track the performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index®.

The portfolio is periodically rebalanced to maintain alignment with the index.

The fund is structured as a trust.

Invesco QQQ Trust offers investors targeted exposure to the NASDAQ-100 Index. The fund’s strategy uses periodic rebalancing to closely mirror index composition and weights.

Foolish take

DKM Wealth Management opened a new position in Invesco’s popular QQQ Trust in Q3 2025, to the tune of $4.8 million and over 7,900 shares. Because QQQ tracks the NASDAQ-100, it gives DKM Wealth Management and other investors a more balanced exposure to tech stocks without nearly as much risk as would be present in investing in individual technology companies.

This has pros and cons, since any individual tech holding can suddenly become a hot commodity and its value balloon dramatically in the current market environment. However, by selecting a basket of tech giants, investors can largely avoid the dramatic ups and downs involved with this sector, and are protected from the more serious losses that can also be present here.

QQQ is an ETF that’s frequently and sometimes aggressively traded, more preferred by active traders than its very similar cousin, QQQM.  QQQ also has higher liquidity, which may be preferred by DKM if the fund feels that this is a shorter term investment, rather than a permanent portfolio balancing move. It can certainly be held long term like QQQM typically is, but it has a higher expense ratio and a higher per share price. Don’t expect this to be a long-term move.

Glossary

13F reportable assets: Assets that U.S. institutional investment managers must disclose quarterly to the SEC on Form 13F.
Assets under management (AUM): The total market value of investments managed on behalf of clients by a fund or firm.
Position: The amount of a particular security or investment held by an investor or fund.
Trust (fund structure): An investment fund organized as a legal trust, often holding assets on behalf of investors.
Periodic rebalancing: Adjusting a portfolio’s holdings at set intervals to maintain target asset allocations or index alignment.
Dividend yield: The annual dividend income from an investment, expressed as a percentage of its current price.
Total return: The investment’s price change plus all dividends and distributions, assuming those payouts are reinvested.
NASDAQ-100 Index®: A stock market index comprising 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange.
Outperforming: Achieving a higher return than a benchmark index or comparable investment over a given period.
Market value: The current total value of a holding, calculated as the share price multiplied by the number of shares owned.

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Why EOS Energy Soared Again This Week

The company is strengthening its product offerings by getting closer to a peer.

According to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, EOS Energy (EOSE -5.60%) cruised to a nearly 10% gain this week. This was the second week in a row the stock managed an outsized gain for its shareholders, with much of the increase coming on the back of a new business partnership it signed.

United with Unico

That tie-up, announced Monday morning, gave EOS a nice lift across the subsequent trading days. EOS and high-performance power electronics manufacturer Unico divulged that they have formalized their collaboration by signing a multiyear partnership arrangement.

Person placing hundred-dollar bills in the hands of another person.

Image source: Getty Images.

EOS, which specializes in next-generation battery energy storage systems (BESS), will use Unico’s latest power conversion products in its systems.

In the press release touting the collaboration, EOS’s senior vice president of storage systems engineering Pranesh Rao was quoted as saying that Unico’s technology in EOS’s offerings would provide clients with “one of the safest, most scalable, efficient, and sustainable energy storage options available.”

Good timing

That news came amid generally positive sentiment for the energy storage systems segment. Especially with the precipitous rise of artificial intelligence (AI) functionalities, there is a sharply growing need for energy generation and storage improvements. It seems apparent that EOS, with this partnership, is actively seeking to bolster the technology it can offer in the effort.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Protagonist Therapeutics Stock Skyrocketed by Almost 30% Today

The company could soon be swallowed by a very large peer — which also happens to be a business partner.

Clinical-stage biotech Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX 29.76%) was all the rage on the stock market Friday. The company’s share price closed a dizzying 29.8% higher on the day, thanks to intense takeover speculation. That leap was particularly notable considering it was quite a downbeat day for stocks overall, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC -2.71%) sliding by almost 3%.

Sale in the works?

That speculation was fired that morning by The Wall Street Journal, which reported healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson was in discussions to acquire Protagonist. Although it gleaned this from unidentified “people familiar with the matter,” the financial newspaper had few details to report about the apparent negotiations.

Two people in white lab coats looking at a computer display.

Image source: Getty Images.

Protagonist is well known to Johnson & Johnson, as the two companies collaborate on the development of a drug that combats immune disorders such as ulcerative colitis. If and when the medication is developed successfully and comes to market, Johnson & Johnson will hold its exclusive commercialization rights.

If the report is accurate, the would-be acquirer wouldn’t be snapping up Protagonist at a bargain. Thanks largely to positive results in clinical trials for several of its pipeline drugs, the biotech’s share price had risen in excess of 70% year to date — and that was before Friday’s monster pop.

Mum’s the word… for now

Neither Protagonist nor Johnson & Johnson has yet commented on the WSJ report, which is par for the course in early stages of such events. I should stress that this has to be considered speculation at this point, although I would advise investors of either company (or both) to keep a sharp eye on how the apparent deal might shape up.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Johnson & Johnson and Protagonist Therapeutics. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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The Smartest Growth Stock to Buy With $200 Right Now

This growth stock is a no-brainer buy if you have $200 to spare right now.

Buying and holding solid growth stocks for a long time is a tried and tested way of making money in the stock market. This philosophy not only allows investors to capitalize on disruptive and secular growth trends but also helps them benefit from the power of compounding.

Nvidia (NVDA -4.84%) is a classic example of what a smart growth stock can do for your portfolio. Anyone who bought just $200 worth of this semiconductor stock five years ago is now sitting on massive gains, as that investment is now worth $2,700. Nvidia is still a solid investment despite such outstanding growth in recent years.

Shares of Nvidia are now trading under $200 each (at around $185 as of this writing), thanks to the stock splits executed by the company in recent years. So if you have just $200 in investible cash, buying Nvidia with that money could turn out to be a smart move. Let’s look at the reasons why.

Nvidia’s AI-fueled growth isn’t going to stop anytime soon

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been the single most important catalyst for Nvidia’s surge. As the world was wowed by the abilities of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in November 2022, Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs) were working behind the scenes to train the large language model (LLM) powering the chatbot.

Since then, LLMs have been deployed for building not just chatbots, but also for other tasks such as language translation, text generation, text summarization, image generation, writing code, automating workflows, and content creation, among other things. Businesses and governments are using the help of AI models to improve their efficiency and productivity.

Nvidia is at the center of this AI revolution because its GPUs have been the go-to choice for hyperscalers and cloud infrastructure providers looking to tackle AI workloads. This is evident from Nvidia’s commanding share of 92% in AI data center GPUs. Of course, competition from the likes of Broadcom and AMD could be a thorn in Nvidia’s side in the future, but there is ample opportunity for all the players in the AI chip market to make a lot of money in the coming years.

Citigroup estimates that AI infrastructure spending by major technology companies is likely to exceed $2.8 trillion through 2029, with half of that spending expected to take place in the U.S. itself. That’s a big jump from the investment bank’s earlier forecast of $2.3 trillion. This massive spending is going to be fueled by the growth in AI compute demand.

The enterprise and sovereign demand for AI compute has been robust. According to a survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, workers using generative AI applications are 33% more productive each hour. 

Cloud computing capacity available at major hyperscalers and other infrastructure providers is greatly outpaced by demand. Oracle, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and others are sitting on massive revenue backlogs of more than $1 trillion. So it can be safely said that AI spending over the next four years has the potential to hit Citigroup’s $2.8 trillion mark.

Nvidia is expected to generate $206.4 billion in revenue in the current fiscal year, an increase of 58% from the previous year. So the company still has a lot of room for growth considering that the annual AI spending over the next five years is likely to clock a run rate of $560 billion, according to Citigroup’s estimates. Analysts have therefore become more bullish about Nvidia’s potential growth in the coming fiscal years.

NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Year Chart

NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Year data by YCharts

The valuation makes the stock a no-brainer buy

The above chart tells us that Nvidia can keep growing at healthy rates despite having already achieved a high revenue base. Not surprisingly, the company’s bottom-line growth is expected to exceed the broader market’s.

For instance, Nvidia’s projected earnings growth rates of 50% for the current fiscal year and 41% for the next fiscal year are much higher than the S&P 500 index’s expected earnings growth rates of 9% and 14%, respectively. Given that Nvidia is now trading at 30 times forward earnings, investors are getting a good deal on this AI stock. It is available at a slight discount to the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index’s earnings multiple of 33.

All this makes Nvidia a smart growth stock to buy with just $200, as this company has the potential to witness a significant jump in its market cap over the next five years that could help multiply that investment substantially.

Harsh Chauhan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Oracle. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Could Buying $10,000 of This Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) ETF Make You a Millionaire?

This exchange-traded fund is loaded with potential generative AI winners.

Some of the biggest winners in the stock market over the last three years have been companies riding the rising wave of generative artificial intelligence.

Palantir (PLTR -5.39%), with its artificial intelligence platform, has seen its stock rise by over 2,000% in three years. Nvidia (NVDA -4.84%), the poster child for AI chipmakers, is up by more than 1,300% in the same period. And neo-cloud providers like Nebius Group (NBIS -2.37%) and CoreWeave (CRWV -3.32%) have soared by triple-digit percentages since their IPOs.

If you had invested $10,000 in any one of these big winners ahead of their surges, you’d be well on the way to having a million-dollar holding in the long term, even if they produce merely average returns from here on out. But identifying which companies will be a new technology’s big winners ahead of time is difficult. If it were easy, everyone would be rich.

If you’d like to profit from the ongoing growth of AI, you could put a little bit of money into a lot of different AI stocks, or you could buy an ETF that specializes in finding generative AI opportunities. That’s what the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT -5.03%) does. Investors who are still trying to strike it rich with generative AI stocks may find it a compelling alternative to attempting to pick individual AI stocks themselves.

A person holding a phone displaying a login screen for an AI chatbot.

Image source: Getty Images.

Looking under the hood

The Roundhill team is focused on building a portfolio of companies that are actively involved in the advancement of generative AI. Its holdings include companies developing their own large language models and generative AI tools, companies providing key infrastructure for training and inference, and software companies commercializing generative AI applications.

Since it’s an ETF, investors can see exactly what the fund holds. Here are the largest holdings in the portfolio as of this writing.

  • Nvidia
  • Alphabet
  • Oracle
  • Microsoft
  • Meta Platforms
  • Broadcom
  • Tencent Holdings
  • Alibaba Group Holdings
  • ARM Holdings
  • Amazon

There aren’t a lot of surprises in the list. Perhaps the biggest standout is Arm, which is relatively small compared to the other tech giants with large weightings in the portfolio. Still, its market cap comes in at a healthy $165 billion.

In total, the ETF holds 40 stocks and several currency hedges for foreign-issued shares as of this writing. That diversification gives it a good chance of holding a few companies that will be big winners from here, which may be all it takes to produce market-beating returns. Indeed, the portfolio includes some of the best-performing stocks of 2025, including Palantir.

Since its inception in 2023, the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF has returned an impressive 148% compared to a 66% total return from the S&P 500. And that’s factoring in the drag of the ETF’s 0.75% expense ratio.

Could $10,000 invested make you a millionaire?

In order to turn $10,000 into $1 million, the ETF would have to increase in value 100-fold. That may be difficult, considering the current sizes of its top holdings.

Nearly one-third of the portfolio is invested in companies with market caps exceeding $1 trillion, and the larger a company becomes, the more raw growth it takes to move the needle on its size on a percentage basis. For Nvidia to grow by even 25% now would be the equivalent of creating a whole new trillion-dollar business. And while such growth is certainly possible for some of those megacap companies, there’s still a finite amount of money in the global economy.

Meanwhile, there are only a handful of relatively small businesses in the ETF’s portfolio that could reasonably be expected to multiply in size significantly.

Additionally, many stocks in the portfolio have high valuations. Palantir shares trade for a forward P/E ratio of 280. Nebius trades for 54 times expected sales. Even CoreWeave’s sales multiple of 12.5 looks expensive, given its reliance on debt to continue growing. That said, some of the best performers of the last few years also looked expensive a few years ago (including Palantir and Nvidia). Still, the expected return of stocks with such high valuations isn’t going to be as high as those offering more compelling values.

As such, it seems unlikely the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF will produce returns strong enough to turn $10,000 into $1 million over a reasonable time frame. That doesn’t mean that it’s not worth owning. For investors looking to gain exposure to the generative AI trend without going all in on one or two stocks, buying the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF is a simple way to do that.

Adam Levy has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Oracle, Palantir Technologies, and Tencent. The Motley Fool recommends Alibaba Group, Broadcom, and Nebius Group and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why MP Materials Rallied Today

Rare-earth elements and China are in the news today, and that’s a good thing for this strategic domestic asset.

Shares of MP Materials (MP 8.69%) rallied on Friday, up 13% as of 12:53 p.m. ET.

MP Materials has become a highly strategic company in the U.S., especially after July, when the U.S. Department of Defense directly invested $400 million in the rare-earth elements miner, while also committing to purchasing future output at certain price floors.

Rare-earth elements are critical materials used in a variety of industrial and military electronics applications, so MP Materials has since moved higher whenever geopolitical tensions rise and the subject of critical materials comes to the forefront.

That’s what happened today.

Shipping containers with U.S. and Chinese flags slamming into each other.

Image source: Getty Images.

Trump threatens China over new rare-earth elements restrictions

On Friday, President Trump took to his social media platform, Truth Social, to excoriate China. President Trump threatened to greatly increase the already-substantial tariffs on Chinese imports into the U.S., and even threatened to cancel his upcoming meeting with President Xi Jinping.

The bellicose reaction came as a response to China apparently instituting new export controls on rare-earth elements yesterday. On Thursday, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce said foreign countries must obtain a license to export rare-earth products sourced from China. Of note, China controls roughly 70% of global rare-earth products, especially on the refining side, so this move threatened to cut off or slow these supplies to the rest of the world.

The new tensions were a disappointing step backward from the ongoing trade talks that investors hoped were improving since April’s “Liberation Day” salvo.

Still, certain stocks benefit from geopolitical tensions, and MP Materials — along with other miners of critical minerals — rallied today in response to the back and forth. If rare-earth element imports are delayed or cut off, MP Materials’ U.S.-based rare-earth mining operations would only see that much more demand.

Plays on geopolitical tensions have rallied this year

Strategic U.S. assets, whether in rare-earth elements, uranium, semiconductors, or others, as well as the price of gold, have risen this year. This has been due to the increasingly protectionist stance of the U.S. government, and the increasing inflationary pressure resulting from U.S. attempts to wean itself off cheaper foreign materials and goods to become more self-sufficient.

These trends don’t appear to be slowing down any time soon, so while many of these stocks are up a lot and trade at very high valuations, it may be prudent for investors to secure some “strategic” U.S. companies as part of their diversified portfolios today.

Billy Duberstein and/or his clients have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends MP Materials. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why SES AI Stock Jumped 75% This Week

Is SES AI the next investment target for the U.S. government?

SES AI (SES 2.01%) stock exploded this week, soaring 77.7% at its highest point in trading in the week through 1:30 p.m. ET Friday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

While the little-known company was busy with the launch of an advanced artificial intelligence (AI)-powered software for discovery of battery materials, investors couldn’t stop piling into its shares in anticipation of a potential investment by the U.S. government.

A happy person holding cash and throwing some in the air, depicting a lot of money.

Image source: Getty Images.

SES AI has big hopes from its new launch

SES AI uses AI to discover electrolyte materials and builds lithium-metal and lithium-ion batteries. These batteries have extensive usage, including in electric vehicles (EVs). battery energy storage systems, drones, robotics, and urban air mobility.

While SES AI is building EV batteries and has shipped advanced samples to original equipment manufacturer (OEM) partners for testing, it has also launched an AI software called the Molecular Universe (MU) that can be used by companies to research and develop novel battery materials to address their battery challenges.

On Oct. 7, SES AI announced that it will launch an advanced version of the software, Molecular Universe 1.0 (MU-1) on Oct. 20. MU-1 covers a wider range of electrolytes and could help the company enter new markets like oil and gas, specialty chemicals, and personal care.

Most importantly, SES AI aims to grow into a subscription-based company by offering subscription plans for MU-1 to enterprise-level customers. During the Oct. 7 event, founder and CEO Qichao Hu said the company has received “tremendous response” for MU, has already generated revenue from two joint development customers, and is converting several of its enterprise-level customers to subscriptions. Hu expects these subscriptions to drive its revenue in the coming quarters.

Keep SES AI stock on your watch list

SES AI stock hit the bull’s-eye this week as the powerful combination of AI and lithium captivated the markets, boosted by the AI boom and President Donald Trump’s bold moves to acquire stakes in several critical materials companies, including lithium miner Lithium Americas.

While investors are also betting big on SES AI stock hoping it will also attract a strategic investment by the U.S. government, I see little chance for that given that the company mainly has operations outside of the U.S.

That said, the potential for recurring revenue from MU subscriptions and SES AI’s projection of almost 7 to 13 times growth in revenue this year are worth watching.

Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Osprey Adds to $15.4 Million JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) Position

On October 8, 2025, Osprey Private Wealth LLC disclosed a buy of 13,580 shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co.(JPM -0.63%), an estimated $4.04 million trade.

What happened

According to its SEC filing dated October 8, 2025, Osprey Private Wealth LLC acquired an additional 13,580 shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co. in the third quarter of 2025. The estimated value of the shares purchased is approximately $4.04 million, based on the average closing price for the quarter. The post-trade position stands at 48,910 shares, worth $15.43 million at quarter-end.

What else to know

The fund increased its JPMorgan Chase & Co. stake, now representing 5.6% of reportable assets.

Osprey’s top holdings after the filing:

  • Alphabet: $22.44 million (8.2% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • Nvidia: $21.11 million (7.7% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • JPMorgan Chase: $15.43 million (5.6% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • Meta Platforms: $14.74 million (5.4% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • Visa: $12.47 million (4.5% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025

As of October 7, 2025, shares were priced at $307.69, up 45.9% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 32.0 percentage points over the past year

Company overview

Metric Value
Net income (TTM) $56.2 billion
Dividend yield 1.8%
Price (as of market close October 7, 2025) $307.69

Company snapshot

JPMorgan Chase:

  • offers a comprehensive suite of financial products and services, including consumer banking, investment banking, commercial banking, asset and wealth management, and payment solutions.
  • serves a broad client base comprising individual consumers, small businesses, corporations, institutional investors, and government entities worldwide.
  • operates globally with significant scale across multiple banking segments.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is one of the world’s largest and most diversified financial institutions, with significant scale across consumer, commercial, and investment banking segments. The company’s integrated business model and global reach enable it to capture a wide range of revenue streams and maintain a strong competitive position.

Foolish take

While Osprey’s addition of $4 million to its JPMorgan Chase position purchase may seem encouraging to investors, it may not be as big a deal as it looks.

Despite this hefty purchase, Osprey’s portfolio allocation to JPMorgan Chase actually dipped from 5.7% to 5.6%. This decline stems from the fact that the firm added to almost all of the investments it holds.

Ultimately, Osprey mostly holds niche-leading stocks that may prove hard to disrupt, so its 5.6% in JP Morgan Chase — making it the largest bank in the United States — fits this billing nicely.

Despite being the largest bank here in the states, JPMorgan Chase has grown its net income and dividend payments by 13% and 9% annually over the last decade.

This growth, paired with the company’s solid return on equity of 16%, reasonable price-to-earnings ratio of 16, and top-quality leadership, makes JPMorgan Chase a great steady-Eddie investment to consider — and why it looks like an excellent stock for Osprey to add to.

Glossary

AUM: Assets under management – The total market value of investments managed by a fund or firm.

Reportable AUM: The portion of a fund’s assets required to be disclosed in regulatory filings.

Stake: The ownership interest or amount of shares held in a particular company or asset.

Holding: A specific security or asset owned within an investment portfolio.

Outperforming: Achieving a higher return than a relevant benchmark or index over a given period.

Dividend yield: Annual dividends per share divided by the share price, expressed as a percentage.

Quarter-end: The last day of a fiscal quarter, used as a reference point for financial data.

Integrated business model: A company structure combining multiple business lines or services to create operational efficiencies.

Institutional investors: Organizations such as pension funds, insurance companies, or endowments that invest large sums of money.

TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Alphabet, Nvidia, and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, JPMorgan Chase, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Levi Strauss (LEVI) Stock Shrank 14% Friday Morning

Levi Strauss beat on sales and earnings, but the stock still stumbled. Here is what the guidance and outlook really said.

Shares of Levi Strauss (LEVI -11.74%) faded on Friday, like a pair of bleached jeans. The apparel maker reported third-quarter results on Thursday evening, beating Wall Street’s estimates on both the top and bottom lines.

The stock still fell as much as 14% in the morning session due to modest management commentary and lofty expectations.

A pair of human legs dressed in blue jeans.

Image source: Getty Images.

Q3 2025 results and Q4 guidance

Q3 revenues rose 6.9% year over year to $1.54 billion. Levi Strauss saw double-digit growth in Asia and a weaker currency-adjusted increase of 3% in Europe. The analyst consensus had called for $1.50 billion.

On the bottom line, adjusted earnings rose from $0.33 to $0.34 per diluted share. Here, your average analyst would have settled for $0.30 per share.

Management also raised its full-year guidance targets across the board, but wrapped the increases in cautious caveats. Levi Strauss should achieve roughly Street-level guidance targets, but only if tariffs hold steady and consumers don’t face macroeconomic pressure in the upcoming holiday season.

On the earnings call, CFO Harmit Singh noted that organic revenue growth held flat in 2023, saw a 3% gain in 2024, and should rise to approximately 6% in the updated 2025 projections. That’s an impressive top-line acceleration.

Is Levi Strauss a good buy after the price drop?

This share-price cut took the edge off Levi Strauss’s recent gains. The stock has still risen 49% in six months, reflecting strong organic sales even in this unpredictable economy.

Trading at 18.7 times trailing earnings today, Levi Strauss shares are neither terribly expensive nor extremely cheap. If you thought the stock was overvalued yesterday, this could be a good time to pick up lower-priced shares, locking in the effective dividend yield at a generous 2.6%.

Anders Bylund has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Warren Buffett Recommends Most Investors Buy This 1 Index Fund — and It Could Turn Just $200 per Month Into $400,000 or More

Buffett believes investors don’t need to do extraordinary things to get great results.

Warren Buffett is well known for being perhaps the greatest stock picker of all time, and for good reasons. Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -0.88%) (BRK.B -1.03%), the conglomerate Buffett has led since the mid-1960s, has delivered unbelievable returns for investors over the years, and a big reason is Buffett’s success with using Berkshire’s capital to invest in stocks.

What makes Buffett’s investing style so extraordinary is how simple it is. Buffett invests in great businesses (mostly ‘boring’ ones) that he believes trade for significantly less than their intrinsic value and holds them for as long as they remain great businesses.

He doesn’t chase technology stocks or try to get in on the ground floor of the ‘next big thing.’ He doesn’t trade short-term. And he uses fairly basic investment principles, which he often shares with everyday investors. In addition to being the most successful investor, he is also the most quotable.

Warren Buffett smiling.

Image source: Getty Images.

Buffett’s advice to the average investor

Yes, Warren Buffett has an extraordinary track record when it comes to choosing individual stocks to invest in. But it’s also important to know that he spends many hours (usually over 10 per day) researching and reading.

Of course, you don’t need to spend that much time, but the point is that being a successful individual stock investor requires time and knowledge. As Buffett says, “If you like spending six to eight hours per week working on investments, do it. If you don’t, then dollar-cost average into index funds.”

To be perfectly clear, Buffett doesn’t think there’s anything wrong with this option. In fact, he has directed that his own wife’s inheritance be invested in this way after he’s gone.

Buffett has specifically mentioned the S&P 500 as a great way to bet on American business. And he says that “American business — and consequently a basket of stocks — is virtually certain to be worth far more in the years ahead.”

Buffett is a big fan of this S&P 500 ETF

There are several excellent S&P 500 index funds in the market, but one that Buffett has owned in Berkshire Hathaway‘s portfolio is the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO -1.28%). This fund simply tracks the 500 stocks in the index, in their respective weights, and should mimic the performance of the benchmark index over time.

Buffett is a big fan of Vanguard, which pioneered the low-cost index fund years ago. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF has a rock-bottom 0.03% expense ratio, which means that you’ll pay just $0.30 in annual investment fees for every $1,000 in assets. To be clear, this isn’t a fee you physically have to pay — it will just be reflected in the fund’s performance over time. But it’s so low that it will barely have any impact on your long-term results.

You might be surprised at the potential

One final Buffett quote I’ll leave you with is “it isn’t necessary to do extraordinary things to get extraordinary results.” And it certainly applies to index fund investing.

Over the long run, the S&P 500 has produced annualized returns of about 10% over long periods of time. Let’s say that you invest just $200 per month in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and that you achieve 10% returns going forward.

  • In 10 years, you’d have about $38,250.
  • In 20 years, you’d have $137,460.
  • In 30 years, you’d have nearly $395,000.
  • In 40 years, you’d have about $1.06 million.

The key is to invest consistently and hold for a long time. The magic of long-term compounding will do the heavy lifting for you. As you can see, if you’re not comfortable with picking individual stocks, it doesn’t necessarily mean that you can’t use the stock market to build extraordinary wealth over time.

Matt Frankel has positions in Berkshire Hathaway and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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UPS Stock Bull vs. Bear: Turnaround or High-Yield Trap?

In this video, Motley Fool contributors Jason Hall and Tyler Crowe have a bull-versus-bear debate on United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS). Will its ongoing turnaround drive returns for shareholders, or is a dividend cut and further stock fall more likely?

*Stock prices used were from the afternoon of Oct. 7, 2025. The video was published on Oct. 10, 2025.

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Jason Hall has positions in United Parcel Service. Tyler Crowe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends United Parcel Service. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Jason Hall is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

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Levi Strauss (LEVI) Q3 2025 Earnings Transcript

Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025, at 5:00 p.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

  • President and Chief Executive Officer — Michelle Gass
  • Chief Financial and Growth Officer — Harmit Singh
  • Head of Investor Relations — Aida Orphan

Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected]

RISKS

  • Tariff impact — Harmit Singh stated, “Our updated guidance reflects the latest tariff rate, which includes 30% for China and an increase to approximately 20% for the rest of the world, compared to 50 basis points previously,” and quantified a resulting 20 basis point impact on gross margin and a 2 to 3¢ reduction in adjusted diluted EPS.
  • Gross margin headwind in fiscal fourth quarter — Management forecasts a roughly 100 basis point contraction in gross margin for the fiscal fourth quarter ended Nov. 30, 2025, driven by tariffs and the absence of a fifty-third week.

TAKEAWAYS

  • Net revenue growth — Net revenue increased 7% in the fiscal third quarter ended Aug. 31, 2025, with international markets contributing approximately 75% of the growth and the US accounting for the rest.
  • Direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel — DTC sales rose 9%, with e-commerce up 16% and store comps delivering high single-digit growth in the fiscal third quarter; DTC now accounts for over 40% of the US business as of the fiscal third quarter.
  • Gross margin — Gross margin reached a record 61.7%, up 110 basis points, more than offsetting an 80 basis point tariff headwind in the fiscal third quarter; approximately 50 basis points of margin uplift came from foreign exchange in the same period.
  • Adjusted EBIT margin and EPS — Adjusted EBIT margin reached 11.8%, and adjusted diluted EPS was 34¢, both “ahead of our expectation” in the fiscal third quarter, according to Harmit Singh.
  • Wholesale channel — Global wholesale net revenues grew 5% on an organic, continuing operations basis in the fiscal third quarter, with signature business up double digits and women’s outperforming across key partners, while US wholesale rose 2%.
  • Regional trends — Asia net revenues accelerated 12% with double-digit DTC and wholesale gains; the Americas rose 7%, and Europe rose 3%, with UK performance described as “very strong,” based on organic net revenues in the fiscal third quarter.
  • Women’s and tops segments — Levi Strauss women’s business grew 9%, men’s grew 5%, and tops increased 9%, with men’s tops up 10% and women’s tops up 8%, all on an organic basis in the fiscal third quarter.
  • Shareholder returns — Returned $151 million to shareholders in the fiscal third quarter (up 118%), bringing year-to-date returns to $283 million and exceeding the annual payout target.
  • Inventory — Inventory dollars grew 12% and units increased 8% in the fiscal third quarter, driven by build-up ahead of the holiday season and higher product costs from tariffs; as of the fiscal third quarter, 70% of US holiday inventory was in place.
  • Guidance raised — Management now expects full-year reported net revenue growth of approximately 3% and organic net revenue growth of approximately 6%, with gross margin projected to expand 100 basis points and adjusted EBIT margin targeted at 11.4%-11.6% for the fiscal year ending Nov. 30, 2025.
  • Beyond Yoga — Beyond Yoga is expected to end the year up low teens versus the prior year, with new stores opening in Boston, Houston, and two more in Northern California, bringing the total store count to 14.
  • SKU productivity — The company reduced SKUs by about 15% compared to last year, achieved a 20% increase in productivity per SKU, and raised the proportion of globally common SKUs to 40% as of the 2025 season.

SUMMARY

Management reported four consecutive quarters of high single-digit organic revenue growth on a continuing operations basis, attributing broad-based performance to both DTC and wholesale channels, as well as geographic and gender diversification. Levi Strauss (LEVI -10.60%) maintained category leadership across men’s and women’s globally, with market share gains in youth premium and strong unit-driven growth. Pricing actions and reduced promotions were cited as gross margin drivers, while higher performance-based compensation and ongoing distribution center transitions weighed on SG&A in the fiscal third quarter. Upcoming tariff increases and the absence of a fifty-third week presented headwinds for the remainder of the year, although operational efficiencies and supply chain mitigation strategies were set to help offset pressures.

  • Harmit Singh indicated, “gross profit dollars are up $220 million, and SG&A is up $126 million” year-to-date, reflecting operational leverage.
  • Michelle Gass detailed that “tops grew 9% overall for the quarter, 10% year-to-date,” on an organic, continuing operations basis in the fiscal third quarter, with a strategic goal to move the tops-to-bottoms sales ratio closer to 1:1.
  • The company invested purposefully in inventory to support the holiday season and cited 70% readiness of required US inventory as of the fiscal third quarter call.
  • Harmit Singh confirmed customer and consumer demand remained resilient in the face of selective pricing increases, with no observable pullback thus far.
  • Growth in DTC and e-commerce channels is expected to continue, with the aim of expanding e-commerce to 15% of total business from the current 9% (as referenced in the company’s fiscal third quarter earnings call).

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

  • DTC (Direct-to-consumer): Sales strategy where the company sells products directly to end customers through owned stores or digital channels, bypassing wholesale intermediaries.
  • UPT (Units per transaction): Operational metric tracking the average number of items sold per customer transaction.
  • AUR (Average unit retail): Average selling price per unit over a given period, excluding markdowns and promotions unless otherwise stated.
  • SKU (Stock keeping unit): Unique identifier for a specific product variant, used for inventory and productivity management.
  • Sell-in/Sell-through: ‘Sell-in’ refers to goods sold by Levi Strauss to its wholesale retail partners; ‘sell-through’ measures the rate at which those goods are sold by partners to end consumers.
  • ASR (Accelerated share repurchase): A program in which a company repurchases a large block of its own shares swiftly, often structured via agreement with a financial intermediary.
  • Red Tab / Blue Tab / Signature: Levi Strauss brand segmentation: Red Tab denotes Levi’s core denim, Blue Tab reflects the premium collection, and Signature targets value-focused consumers.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Aida Orphan: For our 2025. Joining me on today’s call are Michelle Gass, our President and CEO, and Harmit Singh, our Chief Financial and Growth Officer. We’d like to remind you that we will be making forward-looking statements based on current expectations, and those statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties are detailed in our reports filed with the SEC. We assume no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements. Additionally, during this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures that are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results.

Definitions of these measures and reconciliations to their most comparable GAAP measure are included in our earnings release available on the IR section of our website, investors.levistrauss.com. Note that Michelle and Harmit will be referencing organic net revenues or constant currency numbers unless otherwise noted, and the information provided is based on continuing operations. Finally, this call is being webcast on our IR web, and a replay of this call will be available on the website shortly. Today’s call is scheduled for one hour, so please limit yourself to one question at a time to give others the opportunity to have their questions addressed. And now I’d like to turn the call over to Michelle.

Michelle Gass: Thank you, and welcome, everyone. What I’ll share today builds on the themes I’ve been emphasizing this year as we pivot to become a DTC-first, head-to-toe denim lifestyle retailer. The consistent execution of our strategic priorities is driving a meaningful inflection in our financial performance. And today, I’m pleased to share that we delivered another very strong quarter with upside across the P&L, giving us the confidence to raise our full-year revenue and EPS guidance. In Q3, we delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of high single-digit organic revenue growth. Strength was once again broad-based across our business, including DTC and wholesale, international and domestic, women’s and men’s, and tops and bottoms.

Our growth was led by continued strong sales and profitability in our direct-to-consumer channel, up 9%, fueled by strong comp growth as well as solid performance in global wholesale. Our largest market, the US, grew 3%, and our international business was up 9%, led by an acceleration in Asia. And we continue to see robust performance in our core as well as outsized growth in our key focus areas like women’s and tops. The results we’ve delivered this quarter against an increasingly complex backdrop are yet another proof point that our strategies are working. Looking ahead, there are several factors that give me even more conviction that our momentum will continue.

First, our narrowed focus enables us to maximize the full potential of the Levi’s brand. We will continue to build momentum through impactful marketing campaigns, strategic partnerships, and innovative collaborations, ensuring that the brand remains firmly at the center of culture. Second, the total addressable market for denim is large and growing, as consumer preferences continue to shift towards casualization. As the definitive market leader, we are well-positioned to take advantage and drive growth. Third, our denim leadership puts us in a prime position to define and own head-to-toe denim lifestyle, further expanding our addressable market. As we drive this momentum forward, we’ll continue to deliver an innovative and robust product pipeline across genders and categories.

Fourth, our DTC-first strategy is bringing us closer to the consumer and generating consistent and significant growth, while we have also stabilized and grown our wholesale business. Both channels are seeing strong improvements in profitability. Fifth, while international already comprises nearly 60% of our total business, there are still untapped opportunities for us to grow, particularly in Asia, where our business has momentum, and the opportunity for continued expansion is considerable. Underpinning all of this is our culture of performance, with a sharpened focus on operating with rigor and executing with excellence, from go-to-market efficiencies and more productive store operations to end-to-end supply chain improvement.

I will now turn to highlights from the third quarter in the context of our strategies. All numbers that Harmit and I will reference are on an organic, continuing operations basis. Let’s start with our first strategy, being brand-led. Levi’s had another strong quarter of growth. In the quarter, we launched the final chapter of the reimagined campaign with Beyoncé. This campaign delivered as intended, fueling momentum across the business, specifically driving growth in our Levi’s women’s business, up 12% year-to-date. In August, we debuted our new global campaign starring Shabu, underscoring our relevancy and authenticity with men. The campaign showcases our most iconic products, the 501, the trucker jacket, and the western shirt.

And we’re pleased with how this campaign is being received by our fans. In addition, we also cultivated enthusiasm for the brand through a broad range of collaborations, including a joint collection with Nike, fusing Levi’s heritage denim craftsmanship with Nike’s athletic sneaker culture. Our collaborations generate brand heat and introduce Levi’s to new consumers. And just this week, we launched a special collection with Toy Story, in celebration of their thirtieth anniversary. Turning to product, our evolution to a head-to-toe denim lifestyle retailer continues to gain momentum, all while strengthening our position as the global authority in denim.

Our Levi’s women’s business continues to deliver outsized growth, up 9% in Q3, while our leading Levi’s men’s business grew a solid 5%. Driven by our diversified fit, we saw strong growth in our bottoms business, which was up 6%. We’re continuing to inject newness into the looser fit trend, with the new baggy utility silhouettes for him, and the launch of our baggy dad barrel for her. And we’re driving a revival in low rise with our low and super low collection of fits, which are delivering strong growth. As we evolve into denim lifestyle, we’re making meaningful progress on our seasonally relevant assortments as consumers look for more buy now, wear now products.

Following last year’s reset, tops continue to drive notable growth, up 9% with strength across women’s and men’s. For the quarter, our shorts business delivered strong growth across genders. We continue to infuse newness into the assortment through fit and fabric innovation, from our linen blend styles to the launch of the 501 curve. And with respect to our premiumization efforts, we began to roll out our elevated Blue Tab collection to Europe in early September, following a successful launch in Asia and the US earlier this year. Blue Tab merges Levi’s iconic aesthetic with a refined quality and thoughtful Japanese craftsmanship. Looking to the holiday season, we are well-positioned with the right merchandise assortment and the right marketing campaign.

We’re expanding the range of occasions and amplifying the many ways that fans can embrace our denim lifestyle assortment through elevated fabric, textures, and embellishments. We’re excited to showcase Levi’s through a fresh lens that reflects the season’s full spectrum of style. Now shifting to our strategy to be DTC-first. Global direct-to-consumer sales were up 9%, driven by strong performance in both our stores and online. We generated high single-digit comp growth fueled by higher UPT, AUR, and full-price selling as our expanded denim lifestyle assortment continues to resonate with our consumers around the world.

And as we continue to grow our DTC channel, we remain focused on doing so profitably, with our productivity initiatives resulting in more than 400 basis points of margin expansion in the quarter. We’re pleased with the strong results from our store optimization initiative, which have improved both the consumer experience and store productivity. We’ve enhanced our in-store lifestyle merchandising to make the environment more inspiring and shoppable, highlighting our broader assortment of head-to-toe looks. We’ve also been focused on improving our assortment planning and life cycle management, resulting in lower promotions and higher full-price selling. Additionally, we’re in the process of rolling out a new global selling model for our store team.

Which, coupled with our enhanced labor scheduling system, improving the consumer experience and delivering operational efficiencies. We had another quarter of very strong growth in e-commerce, up 16%, driven by an increase in traffic across all segments. We expect e-commerce to continue to be our fastest-growing channel on the path to comprising 15% of our total business, up from just 9% today. In our wholesale channel, net revenues were up 5%, reflecting growth across all segments. In the US, the Levi’s brands were up 2% as we continue to invest in top doors and expand and elevate our assortment.

Western Wear is core to who we are, and we’re pleased to have recently expanded our product assortment with Boot Barn and gained new distribution at Cavender’s. We also see opportunities to increase our penetration with premium and specialty accounts as we broaden and elevate our lifestyle assortment. Now turning to our third strategy, powering the portfolio. Our international business grew 9% in Q3. Asia accelerated in the quarter, driven by double-digit growth in key markets like India, Japan, Korea, and Turkey. I recently visited several stores across India, Korea, and Japan, and it is clear that consumers are responding to the work we’ve done to ensure the best expression of our denim lifestyle assortment.

Japan, in particular, is a market with a very high bar for denim. We’ve been investing in Japan over the past decade, transitioning the market from primarily a wholesale business to now close to 75% DTC. Walking our stores in Nagoya, Shinjuku, and Harajuku, some of our highest volume stores in the world, you’ll see the fullest and most premium expression of the Levi’s brand. Up almost 50% since 2019, and continuing to gain momentum, we remain optimistic about future opportunities in Japan, and we will replicate our successful playbook in this market across the globe. Beyond Yoga was up 2%, and DTC was up 23%, driven by comps, new doors, and e-commerce.

Growth in DTC was offset by a decline in wholesale as the team focuses on higher quality sales in the channel. Looking to Q4, we have additional stores opening in Boston, Houston, and two more stores in Northern California, bringing our total store count to 14. We expect Beyond Yoga to end the year up low teens versus prior year. In closing, we delivered another standout quarter with sales and earnings growth that positions us to increase our outlook for the year. We are fully prepared and well-positioned for holiday, as we enter the season with momentum despite an increasingly uncertain external backdrop.

We have several tailwinds that give me confidence in not only delivering a strong finish to 2025 but also another strong year in 2026. Finally, I’d like to thank our incredible, talented, and passionate team for driving our transformation into the world denim lifestyle leader and delivering outstanding service to our fans every day. And with that, I will turn it over to Harmit to provide a financial overview of the quarter and our expectations for the remainder of the year.

Harmit Singh: Thanks, Michelle. In quarter three, we delivered strong financial results, exceeding expectations across sales, gross margin, EBIT margin, and EPS. We remain focused on establishing a strong track record of consistent execution and results. The strategic transformation across our organization has enabled us to evolve into a higher-performing company with stronger revenue growth, expanded margin, improved cash flows, and higher returns on invested capital. Given the outperformance in quarter three and continued strong trend, we are also raising our revenue and EPS outlook for the year, despite incorporating higher tariffs than assumed in our previous guidance. Now turning to our quarter three results. Net revenue grew 7%, reflecting the power of our diversified business model.

International markets drove approximately 75% of our growth, and the US contributed 25%. This international strength reflects our continued expansion and brand resonance in key markets globally, while our US business maintains solid underlying momentum. By channel, growth was evenly balanced between wholesale and direct-to-consumer, each growing and contributing roughly 50% of our revenue increase. This balanced performance underscores the success of our DTC-first strategy while maintaining strong partnerships in wholesale. By gender, women’s contributed approximately 40% of our growth, with men’s accounting for the balance.

We continue to execute against our strategy to capture greater share in our underpenetrated, higher gross margin women’s segment, while a large men’s business continues to generate solid growth as we fuel momentum in the category. Turning to gross margin performance. We delivered another strong quarter with a quarter three record gross margin of 61.7% of net revenue, expanding 110 basis points versus the prior year, more than offsetting 80 basis points of tariff headwind. Three key drivers fuel the continued expansion. First, our structural business mix continues to evolve favorably with the accelerating shift towards higher margin DTC, international, and women’s category.

Second, targeted pricing actions we have taken across our assortment, as well as higher full-price selling and reduced promotional levels in our direct-to-consumer channel as consumers continue to gravitate towards newness. Third, approximately 50 basis points of the upside in gross margin was driven by foreign exchange. While we are judicially approaching pricing opportunities across our business, in quarter three, we saw a significant increase in units, demonstrating healthy underlying demand for our brand. I’m pleased to report that our adjusted SG&A performance came in line with our expectation, representing less than 50% of total revenue, over a 150 basis points improvement from our first half run rate.

The primary factors contributing to the increase in SG&A dollars include higher performance-based compensation, given the momentum in our business, costs associated with our store opening, as well as expenses associated with the transformation of our distribution network. The combination of robust gross margin and our disciplined approach to SG&A management delivered an adjusted EBIT margin of 11.8% and generated 34¢ of adjusted diluted EPS, both ahead of our expectation. Our focus on profitability as we accelerate growth has enabled us to grow both adjusted EBIT and adjusted diluted EPS up approximately 25% to prior on a year-to-date basis. Now let’s review the key highlights by segment. The Americas net revenues were up 7%.

Our US business was up 3%, delivering a fifth consecutive quarter of strong growth. DTC grew 6% and now represents over 40% of the US market. US wholesale net revenues were also up despite the challenges posed by the transition of our US distribution centers, driven by broad-based strength across the region. LatAm has seen several consecutive quarters of double-digit growth, including Q3, which was up 23%. America’s operating margin expanded 50 basis points, driven by gross margin and revenue leverage. Europe’s net revenues were up 3%. All key markets delivered growth, led by very strong performance in the UK.

While weather impacted footfall in June and July, we exited the quarter with strong performance in August, and we continue to expect mid-single-digit growth in Europe for the year. Operating margin grew 80 basis points versus the prior year from strong gross margin expansion. Asia’s net revenues accelerated to up 12%. The segment saw double-digit growth in both DTC and wholesale. Operating margin increased 50 basis points to prior year, Asia is up 8% on a year-to-date basis, and operating margin for the year is up 40 basis points to prior year. Turning to our shareholder returns program and the balance sheet. In the quarter, we returned $151 million to shareholders, a 118% increase versus last year.

We’ve also closed the first phase of the docket sale. And with the proceeds, we have implemented a $120 million accelerated share repurchase program and retired approximately 5 million shares, with the remaining shares to be settled by 2026. We have returned $283 million to shareholders year-to-date, which is substantially higher than our annual cash payout target. And for Q4, we declared a dividend of 14¢ per share, which is up 8% to prior year. We ended the quarter with reported inventory dollars up 12%, driven by purposeful investment ahead of the holiday and higher product cost than a year ago due to tariffs. In unit terms, inventory was up 8% versus last year.

As of today, we have 70% of the product in the US needed for holiday. Before turning to guidance, let me briefly share our updated assumptions around tariffs. Our updated guidance reflects the latest tariff rate, which includes 30% for China and an increase to approximately 20% for the rest of the world, compared to 50 basis points previously. However, given the Q3 results, we continue to expect only a 20 basis points impact to gross margin. This translates to a 2 to 3¢ impact to adjusted diluted EPS.

Unchanged from last quarter’s guidance. As respects to quarter four, this equates to an 80 basis point headwind to gross margin and a 3¢ impact to adjusted diluted EPS. Looking to 2026, we are continuing to take actions to offset the impact of tariffs. As a reminder, these mitigation initiatives include promotion optimization, targeted pricing action, vendor negotiation, and further supply chain diversification. Now I will turn to our outlook for Q4 and then cover the full year.

While we are taking a prudent approach to our outlook, given the complex macro environment, and the absence of the fifty-third week, which contributed four points to the top line in 2024, we remain confident in the underlying strength and momentum of our business. In quarter four, we expect organic net revenue growth to be up approximately 1%. And on a two-year stack, this equates to 9% organic growth. Reported net revenues are expected to be down approximately 3% because of noncomparable items, including the fifty-third week, denizen, and footwear, which are no longer included in the revenue base.

Gross margin is expected to contract approximately 100 basis points in quarter four, driven by tariffs as well as the impact of the fifty-third week. And we expect adjusted EBIT margin to be in the range of 12.4 to 12.6%. We expect the tax rate to be in the low twenties, higher than a year ago. And adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of 36¢ to 38¢. For the full year, we are taking our revenues up by approximately a percentage point and EPS by 2¢. We now expect reported net revenue growth of approximately 3% for the year. And we have increased our expectations for organic net revenues to approximately 6% up from prior year.

We now expect gross margin to expand 100 basis points for the full year, up from the 80 basis points stated in our prior guidance, including the incremental drag from tariffs. We continue to expect adjusted SG&A as a percentage of revenue and adjusted EBIT margin to be in the range of 11.4 to 11.6%. by 2¢ to a dollar 27 to a dollar 32 for the full year. In closing, our four consecutive quarters of high single-digit growth and raised revenue expectations underscore the strength and resilience of our business. As we accelerate profitable growth, we are transforming into a best-in-class DTC-first denim lifestyle retailer, unlocking new opportunities and delivering greater value for our shareholders.

Our disciplined execution and agility have enabled us to deliver 14 consecutive quarters of DTC comp sales, expand margin, drive cash flow, and return significant capital to our shareholders, including the recent ASR. I will now open up the line.

Operator: Due to time constraints, the company requests you ask only one question. If you have an additional question, please queue up again. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star 11 again. Our first question comes from the line of Laurent Vasilescu of BNP Paribas. Please go ahead, Laurent.

Laurent Vasilescu: Oh, good afternoon, Michelle and Harmit. Thank you very much for taking my question. I wanted to ask about your European momentum. We had a major US brand caution about the European marketplace the other week, again, around increased promotionality. Curious to hear what you’re seeing in this important marketplace. How do you how are your European pre-books look for next spring? And then, Harmit, just on the Q4 guide, the gross margin down 100 basis points. Can you maybe just unpack that a little bit more, what the fifty-third week impact on the GM? And what are the positive offsets? Thank you very much.

Harmit Singh: Sure. Laurent, thanks for calling in. So Europe was up 3% for the quarter. You heard in my prepared remarks about the weather impact. But as soon as the weather cooled, we saw Europe accelerate to double-digit growth, especially as we exited the quarter. There was some shifting in July and August, but September remained strong. We’ve seen growth in the quarter across both channels. DTC was up four, Wholesale was up 2%. Some key markets really performed. UK was up, you know, high mid-teen. And high single-digit growth in Germany and Italy. If you think across men and women, women continues to be strong in Europe.

And the consumer is gravitating towards a broader assortment, looser fit, 501, tops, which is our fastest-growing category. So our view is unlike the other major brands, that you mentioned, we expect to end the year up mid-single-digit, and this is accelerated substantially relative to a year ago. September is off to a good start. Our pre-book for spring is up mid-single-digit. Having said all that, our operating margins were also up 80 basis points. So I think that is working its way through it. On your question, I can broadly talk Q4 guidance, and then I’ll talk gross margins in a minute. But on Q4, we expect the momentum of our business to continue.

We do have an incremental headwind on tariffs. It’s impacting gross margin first unmitigated by 130 basis points and mitigated by about 80 basis points. And EPS by three ten. Had it not been for tariffs, our gross margins in quarter four would have been up. I mean, it’s pretty fractured. And then we’re just taking a conservative approach to the quarter given the complex macros, you know, the status and maybe potential impact on demand. We are not seeing it as we close out September. And the continued transformation of our distribution center. The way to think about it, folks, is we’re raising our full-year top-line guidance to 6% organic.

And you think of the last three years, 23 organic growth was flat, 24 was about over close to 3%. And this year, 6%. So as I said in the prepared remarks, the solidly on track to be a mid-single-digit growth company. And EBIT margins should end the year in the mid-eleven percent nine in 2023. They’re close to nine. So we’ve steadily improved that. Higher gross margin efforts on SG&A and flow through onto EBIT margin.

Laurent Vasilescu: That’s great. Well, yeah, best of luck with the holiday season.

Harmit Singh: Thanks. Thank you. Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Boss of JPMorgan. Your line is open, Matthew.

Matthew Boss: Great. Thanks. So, Michelle, could you elaborate on the momentum that you cited entering the season? Maybe what are you seeing in the denim category or from the consumer broadly? And then Harmit, so have you seen any material change in demand trends in September or October globally? Or is it just prudent planning for the remainder of the quarter that’s driving the moderation that’s embedded in your fourth quarter organically? Revenue guidance?

Harmit Singh: I’ll answer your second first because I’m sure it’s top of mind for folks. No. It’s just being the prudent guidance is just being, you know, conservatism on the max. We’re not seeing any underlying change in trends as that reflected. I think we’re really well set for holidays. And Michelle can give you a perspective on the category and the consumer.

Michelle Gass: Sure. So, Matt, thanks for the question. First, let me talk about the category. We’re really excited. I mean, the denim category is accelerating. Both here in the US and globally. And as the definitive market leader, we are very well positioned to take advantage of that. And of course, as the leader, we help fuel the growth, and we’re seeing that happen. Just to remind everyone, we are the market share leader across men’s and women’s globally, and we continue to maintain our number one share of position in the US as well for both men and women. I’d say most recently, we’re really thrilled to see that we’re gaining share in youth premium, and with our signature business.

So when we think about our business from a segmentation standpoint, doing really well with Red Tab and for those consumers who are more value-oriented, we saw our signature business up double digits this quarter. What’s driving that for our business in terms of market share gains and again, as the leader, helping to fuel the momentum on the category overall, I mean, it starts with product. We’re bringing a lot of newness and innovation into our business through fits, fabrics, silhouettes. A lot of that’s still happening with boots and baggy. But we’re really seeing strength across the board.

And importantly, not only is it continuing to be the leader in denim bottoms, but we’re really expanding our addressable market as we think about going from denim bottoms to head-to-toe denim lifestyle. And, you know, we’re seeing that momentum in categories like tops. So when take a step back, I mean, we’ve been around many decades. We really built this business on denim, but we’re building our future on denim lifestyle. So feel good about the category, our position. Now more broadly, to your question on the consumer, I think kind of building on Harmit’s comments and mine, our consumer continues to be resilient, and we’re seeing that around the globe.

I mean, it starts with the business, our fourth consecutive quarter of high single-digit organic growth globally. And I think it’s important to make note that this for the quarter, this business was driven largely through unit growth. Right? So it’s unit growth that’s really fueling that momentum. And we saw broad-based strength across geographies, across categories, that’s both men’s and women’s tops and bottoms. And both DTC and wholesale. So consumers responding, our strategies are working. I mentioned the denim category accelerating. I mentioned really kind of being relevant across these various consumer cohorts. And we get that we’re operating in a complex environment here in the US. We’re staying close to it.

But when you think out about the Levi’s brand, in times of uncertainty, consumers turn to brands that they know and trust. And Levi’s certainly one of those brands. So we’re optimistic as we enter the fourth quarter. We expect the health and the momentum of our business to continue. We’ve been planning for holiday all year. And I would say we have our most robust lifestyle assortment we’ve ever brought to the consumer with lots of seasonally relevant product across really all categories. And again, we continue to make progress on this head-to-toe, so you’ll see lots of the fashion bottoms as well as tops and outerwear, third pieces.

And I think products that really go sort of from day to night at work to evening events, especially during that holiday season, but there’s a lot of newness and that will also be fueled by tremendous marketing. We’ve had a great year of marketing with Beyoncé. We got Shaboozy right now, and you can expect us to continue to connect in a relevant way during the holiday season.

Matthew Boss: That’s great color. Best of luck.

Michelle Gass: Thanks, Matt.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ike Boruchow of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead, Ike.

Ike Boruchow: Hey. Thanks. Let me add my congratulations. Maybe, Harmit, just to focus on margins specifically, can you comment on two things? One, within the SG&A cost line, you a little bit about it earlier, but the distribution line is running around 7% of sales right now. I know can you remind us the moving pieces on the warehousing and DCs? You have going on? A year ago, it was around 6%. I think historically, it’s been 5%. How quickly does that margin start to benefit you guys as you go into next year?

And then to that point, are you comfortable, beginning to lay out a timeline on the return to 15% margin you guys kind of put back on the table several quarters ago as the momentum picked up. Thank you.

Harmit Singh: Cool. So let me Ike, I’ll start with gross margin and give you some color about what happened in Q3. So people and yourself understand. Then I’ll go quickly into SG&A and distribution. Think of gross margin in quarter three, up 110 basis points, higher than what we had expected when we talked about this a quarter ago. Three basic factors. One is the structural mix, which is higher women’s DTC and international that we think continues for a long, long time. The second is we have taken moderate pricing, and we’re driving higher full-price sale. And the third is the FX benefit, which we had called at about 50 basis points.

This more than offset about 80 basis points of headwind from the tariffs. And so that’s why, you know, a, we were ahead of last year and the over-delivery was affected. Difficult to predict. We haven’t predicted FX for quarter four as an example. And full price, you know, it’s something we’re focused on. It’s difficult to forecast that. So those are that’s gross margin. Then you think about SG&A. Our SG&A, you know, for the quarter, was below 50%. If you think the first half of the year, it was higher than 50% of revenue. Higher than you know? So the run rate was lower than the first half of the year, which was higher.

The way we think of SG&A, I mean, there are two ways to look at it. A, our gross profit dollars at a, you know, growing at a fast pace than SG&A. So if you think of year-to-date, our gross profit dollars are up $220 million, and SG&A up is up $126 million. So clearly driving high flow through. If you look at it just as a revenue to SG&A, SG&A up 6%, and revenue up 8%, so clear leverage. As we think we end the year, you know, if 6% is the revenue guidance organically, SG&A is probably in the mid-single digits of this year leverage. On that.

And this quarter, our, you know, SG&A, being up relative to a year ago, there’s performance comp, which is a big piece. We’re having a good year. Distribution cost, which I’ll come to in a minute, so I’ll answer your question. You know, we opened on a gross basis 14 new stores. I mean, you know, and that’s really, you know, the trifecta factor in DTC. Is driving the result. Especially as we market expenses, marketing expenses moved a little bit between Q4 and Q3. Launched the Shibuzi campaign and some foreign exchange headwind. Your question, Ike, about distribution, overall, as you know, we are remapping our distribution network to more of a hybrid network built for omnichannel.

From a manual network that is built for wholesale. So there are clear benefits that we will see over time. In the short term and transformations obviously have a short-term impact. Over the short term, you know, we’ve in the US, we’ve been running parallel DCs as we ramp up the new DC that’s run by a third party. If you think of distribution cost about 7%, and they’ve increased from a year ago, I would say about half of that is the reclass and distribution expenses from selling to distribution for e-commerce. And the other half is equally split between volume, which is driving, you know, more distributed expenses and the cost of parallel running.

Our expectation is that parallel running of DC because good news is there’s demand is pretty robust. So as we make this transformation, we have to do it in a way that we not only fulfill the demand for customers and consumers but also ramp up and close this DC. So our view is and it’s, you know, it’s art and science. So we’re working through that. But I think by the end of quarter one twenty-six, is when we probably ramp down parallel running of the DC. So early twenty-six. And when we report results, for quarter four. In early twenty-six, we’ll give you a perspective on distributed expenses.

But over time, long term, we should reduce cost per unit and the cost of running parallel DC. Does that help, Ike, answer your question?

Ike Boruchow: Yes. And I’m just curious timeline on the 15%. If there’s anything you can share.

Harmit Singh: Yeah. I think, you know, you’re asking for a quick review on to Investor Day or preview on that. But I think the way to think about that, I is you know, our EBIT margin should end the year about in the mid-eleventh. Right? And, you know, and they’ve grown nicely over the last couple of years. I think the basic building blocks are the following. The gross margin expansion continues. I mean, our view is that the structural piece continues, say and, you know, if you take probably a five-year period, you can say that 200 basis point you know, that should help EBIT.

The SG&A leverage if you have you know, as we get to mid-single-digit growth company, I think the SG&A leverage is about 200 basis points. We may amp up advertising a little bit, you know, given the wonderful programs, our chief marketing officer, and these are invoking. I think that helped drive the brand, make the brand stronger. And importantly, drive revenue. I think that’s probably a 50 odd basis points of headwind, and that will come with revenue. So I think that’s your building blocks. So you think of gross margin expansion SG&A leverage, and a little bit of reinvestment in advertising gets you to 15%.

Ike Boruchow: Got it. Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Kearney of Barclays.

Paul Kearney: Thanks for taking my question. Within the wholesale business growth, can you speak to how much was driven by maybe new points of distribution or expanded assortment versus like for like on stronger sell-throughs? And how would you categorize inventory levels within the retail channel, setting in the holidays? Thank you.

Michelle Gass: Sure. Paul, thanks for the question. So as we said in our earlier remarks, we’re quite pleased with the continued growth that we’re seeing in the channel. This is now four consecutive quarters with this quarter at 5%. We do expect the year to be slightly positive in the wholesale channel for the entire year, which was actually up from our prior expectation, which we had said previously flat to slightly up. We saw positive growth in this channel across all segments. We saw particular strength in US Wholesale. We saw it in Asia, Latin America, and in the signature business, which is more for that value consumer.

The growth is largely being driven with existing accounts as their consumers are responding to our fashion fits, women’s especially is outperforming, and lifestyle. So while we, yes, we are bringing in some new accounts like Western Wear, got new distribution, and Cavender’s were expanding in Boot Barn. The growth is largely coming from our execution with our existing partners.

Paul Kearney: Great. Thank you. Best of luck.

Michelle Gass: Yeah. Thank you.

Harmit Singh: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Oliver Chen of TD Securities. Please go ahead, Oliver.

Oliver Chen: Thanks. Hi, Michelle. Hi, Harmit. Regarding Americas, the low single-digit growth, is your expectation that’s continues in Q4? And on the wholesale side, it’s been a little more challenging channel, but do you think it’ll remain sustainably positive, or will that be potentially volatile? Second, there’s a lot of great initiatives and partnerships with part of the thesis is also, like, amplify to simplify with inventory management. And SKU rationalization. So how do we reconcile those two in terms of where you are in that journey?

Michelle Gass: Sure. Thanks, Oliver, for the question. You know, as it relates to The Americas, or I can speak to the biggest part of the business, which is The US, we’re really proud about how the team has been executing in that market. This is our fifth consecutive quarter of growth. And because you all know, it’s our largest, most mature, most competitive market. And both channels, DTC was up 6%, wholesale up 2%, and we continue to see long-term growth opportunities in both those channels. So I think about the DTC business here in The US, we have the potential to even double our store count and further accelerate e-commerce on the back of the momentum we have.

And on wholesale, which I was just talking about more broadly, global wholesale, but wholesale in The US remains strong. And our key partners are responding and their consumers are responding to our expanded product pipeline across men’s, especially women’s, where we continue to be under-indexed, in particular in the wholesale channel, and then that head-to-toe lifestyle. As we look forward, I’ll just say that we as we look Q4 in The US and in The Americas, we expect the business to remain healthy against executing the same strategies we’ve been talking about. Leaning into DTC, you know, driving units per transaction, driving conversion, driving greater full-price sell-through.

As I was mentioning earlier, though, a lot of our growth is coming off of units. So while we are seeing that enhanced AUR, we’re also driving a lot of volume growth. But I will say as it relates to US wholesale, while we expect continued positive growth in DTC, for the fourth quarter, we do expect in US wholesale to be down given that we’re lapping a very strong quarter last year, and we had that fifty-third week. So as we lap last quarter’s fourth quarter, strong results, the fifty-third week, and just frankly, be continuing to be prudent as we think about this channel given the complex macro environment we’re operating in The US.

So Oliver, does that fully answer? And then you had part two of the question. Let me answer that, and I’ll come back and make sure I’ve fully answered. But then part two, I’m glad you asked the question about SKU rationalization because we continue to make really good progress there. So while we talk about expanded assortment, lifestyle, we are also at the same time reducing SKUs. And we’ve decreased our SKUs by about 15% compared to last year, and this has been an ongoing journey over the last eighteen months or so. So we’re continuing to raise the bar there. And what’s really enabling us to do that is through a tighter globally common or globally directed assortment.

So just for perspective, if we think about the season we’re in right now, the 2025, 40% of our SKUs are globally common. That’s up from a couple of years ago. Where it was under 10%. So that allows us to make sure, again, that we can get the breadth and the lifestyle where we’re getting significantly higher productivity per SKU. And that metric just for fun is up 20% on a SKU productivity. So, it really speaks to how the team is leaning in with a much stronger merchant mentality and operating like a retailer. That’s helping us drive those tailwinds that we’re seeing in the business overall and especially in DTC.

Oliver Chen: Yeah. Thanks, Michelle. That’s really helpful. This is quick. Harmit, are there any gross margin comparisons we should be aware of as we anniversary, them this year and think about next year?

Harmit Singh: So last year was fifty-third week. This year, I think the only piece will be, you know, we probably see tariff impact in the second half of this year. Next year, and the first half. The way we think about gross margin and I think you’re asking for high-level framework. For ’26. And it’s a good question. Let me just talk about it because as we build up plans for next year, the tailwinds that we think probably help gross margin accretion. One is we’re looking at pricing opportunities, again, targeted not only in The US but globally given that 60% of the business is global. Is outside The US. Structured improvements of DTC international women’s continues.

We continue to focus on full-price selling, and it’s not anywhere close to 100%. So there’s clearly opportunity there. The other piece is as we think about product cost, you know, Michelle talked about the simplification of SKUs. We’re looking at a shorter go-to-market calendar. And cotton commodity is in a better spot today than it was a year ago. We’ve broadly locked in product costing for the first half. We’re in the process. By the time we report and guide Q twenty-six, we’ll probably have locked in the second half. So stay tuned. And the headwind is largely tariffs. And so you’ve seen some impact in the second half of this year.

You offset the first the quarter three working you know, to try and do what we can for quarter four, but I’ve guided you the appropriate numbers. And so those are the tailwinds and the headwinds that you think about. Gross margin.

Michelle Gass: Thank you very much.

Paul Kearney: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead, Dana.

Dana Telsey: Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. As you think about the lifestyle offering, Michelle, with tops and with bottoms, and jackets outfits, what did you see in the growth rates of the different categories? And given the marketing that you’ve been doing in the collaborations, how do you think of the AUR opportunities going forward? Thank you.

Michelle Gass: Great. Thanks, Dana, for the question. You know, we’re really pleased with the progress and the acceleration in our TOP business overall. And I like to say, while we’re pleased we’re not satisfied, and there’s a ton of upside because tops represent just currently 22% of our business. But as we shared earlier, our tops grew 9% overall for the quarter, 10% year-to-date, and we’re really seeing the strength across channels and genders. So if you double click underneath that, men’s up 10%, and we’re really seeing popularity in things like western tops, button downs, polos, wovens. You know, as we think about our top strategy and denim lifestyle, we do start closer to our core.

So, you know, really injecting light into, like, the western shirt, which is being advertised in our campaign right now with 20%. Similarly, women’s tops up 8%, seeing it across both channels. Denim tops, they’ll start there, up 12%. Wovens, including things like blouses, fashion, button downs, up 37%. And then the category we’re really expanding in to expand her closet, dresses and jumpsuits up nearly 20%. I think importantly, as we drive all this newness and excitement, in head-to-toe dressing, we’re seeing both growth in newness and in our core, which is really important, to continue to support both.

Kind of back to the opportunity, if you think about our business today, again, while we’re making progress, there’s so much upside. Our ratio of bottoms to tops is three to one. Now that’s up significantly from years ago where it was seven to one or five to one. But our goal is to get to one to one, and I’m very confident we will. And as we drive TOPS, it’s a UPT driver. It can be a traffic driver, and it really kind of completes this mission we’re on to have Levi’s stand for head-to-toe denim lifestyle. So hopefully that addresses your question, Dana.

Dana Telsey: Yes. Thank you.

Michelle Gass: Great. Thanks.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Aditya Kakani of UBS. Your line is open, Aditya.

Jay Sole: Hi. I think this is Jay Sole, and hopefully, you can hear me. But my question is that it sounds like you took some pricing in Q3. Harmit, I think you said one of the gross margin drivers Q3 was pricing. Was that in response to tariff in Q4? Sorry, before that, the consumer, it sounds like responded well to those price increases. Did you see any resistance in Q4? Do you plan on accelerating the price increases? And therefore, do you expect the consumer to react differently if you increase prices in the fourth quarter? Thank you.

Harmit Singh: So, Jay, we did. We took, you know, a little bit of pricing in Q3. It was not an MSRP because, you know, the goods are already been ticketed. This was in the sell-in to our customers. In The US. I’m talking about. And, you know, we do it thoughtfully. We have really great momentum, as you mentioned, driven by demand. But to answer your question, no impact on demand. We’re not seeing any impact on demand either from the customer or the consumer. The other piece that’s really working for us is our new products. Because and so as we think longer term, pricing through innovation is one lever.

We are also taking a hard look at our promotion, you know, and minimizing this as we focus on higher full-price selling. Will also, you know, be something that probably continues into ’26. So we’re thinking about pricing, it’s more important to think about what’s the price-value equation for our products relative, you know, to the marketplace, and that’s an important consideration set. The other piece that’s important, Jay, is the segmentation of a product. So if you think of the value consumer in The US, we offer signature product. It’s a great price point. It’s offered through Walmart. And it had a great quarter. It’s up double digits. We’ve just also introduced Blue Tab, which is a premium product.

It’s premium position. It’s one and a half times to two times the price of Red Tab product. And offers real value even when you benchmark that. It’s a limited offer. We hope to scale it. It’s doing really well. So that’s how one is thinking through it. And there’s a little bit of pricing in other parts of the world. But it’s not, you know, something that we’ve done globally. So when we talk about ’26 and guide ’26, we’ll give you a perspective on the pricing actions we have taken or our teams have taken around the world.

Jay Sole: Got it. Thank you so much.

Harmit Singh: Thanks.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Lejuez of Citi. Please go ahead, Paul.

Tracy Kogan: Thank you. This is Tracy Kogan filling in for Paul. I just had a follow-up on the last question. I think you said, from what I understood, that you only raised prices on sell-ins to your partners. So have you actually had time to see the consumer response to these higher prices, or were you only saying that your partners haven’t had any hesitancy to buy at these higher prices? And then just more broadly, I was hoping you could comment on The US Wholesale business, how sell-ins are comparing to sell-outs. Thank you.

Harmit Singh: Generally, Tracy, good question. I think it’s a combination of both, you know, because, you know, the pricing initiatives have been now there through the quarter. You know? A, the customers are not we don’t see any demand contraction, you know, given the marginal pricing that has been taken or consumer reaction. The consumer generally resilient, you know, so far. And that’s how we’re approaching the pricing plus the full-price selling has been there for a while. And given that the product is very relevant and hitting the mark, you know, we’re not seeing any consumer pullback. I think that was your first question. What was the second one, Tracy, again?

Tracy Kogan: I was hoping you could just comment more broadly on how the sell-in to your wholesale partners are comparing to the sell-outs. Are they being more cautious than maybe the end consumer might indicate or something like that?

Harmit Singh: No. The sell-throughs have been very consistent with the sell-in. And that’s why, you know, we are, you know, optimistic about ending the year strongly and then maintaining the momentum as we begin ’26.

Tracy Kogan: Gotcha. Thanks very much.

Harmit Singh: Thank you, Tracy.

Operator: Thank you. At this time, I’d like to turn the floor back over to Michelle Gass for any closing remarks. Madam?

Michelle Gass: Yes. Thank you, everyone, for joining the call, and we will look forward to talking to you at the end of Q4.

Operator: Thank you. This concludes today’s conference call. Please disconnect your lines at this time.

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Super Micro Stock Analysis: Buy or Sell This AI Stock?

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) has taken investors on a roller-coaster ride over the past 18 months.

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Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

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Intellect drives transformation certainty and business impact for global banks

Rajesh and Akash share how Intellect supports banks and financial institutions in achieving full digital transformation, navigating global uncertainties, improving cost efficiency, and staying on schedule.

GF: What specific challenges do banks face in their digital transformation initiatives?

Rajesh Saxena: When you look at digital transformation and large-scale transformation, I think the most important aspect is that it has to be driven right from the top – the board, the management and the CEO have to be totally vested in this for it to be successful. Sometimes we see a misalignment from that perspective and that leads to problems.

The second thing is that it involves a lot of legacy platforms, interfaces with external ecosystem and data migration. That could sometimes be a challenge.

The third thing we have noticed is that, in many cases, when the bank or the financial institution starts the transformation, they are looking to adapt, but as we go through the process, they want the new system to look exactly the same as the old one, and that can create issues.

Finally, banks have to realise that large-scale transformations require a dedicated team. Sometimes they don’t have a team, and sometimes they do, but that team is also doing other activities. That inadequate focus can also result in challenges.

Rajesh Saxena, CEO of Intellect Consumer Banking

GF: Could you provide us with specific examples of how Intellect has been able to help banks overcome challenges and implement their digital strategies?

Rajesh Saxena; Our delivery framework has really improved over the years. Our starting point is design thinking, first principles thinking, and systemic thinking. This helps us really understand the customer’s requirement, both stated and, more importantly, his unstated needs. Then our products are built on the latest architecture. We call it eMACH.ai which stands for events, microservices, API, cloud and headless – with artificial intelligence built into it. This underlying architecture allows banks to have composability, extensibility and integration via APIs.

We have also realised that when you’re doing a large transformation, you need a team of people very close to the customer and in the same location. So our model is local delivery with a team on the ground, while our factory stays in India. Recently, we successfully launched several projects: we went live with the Central Bank of Seychelles, implementing our eMACH.ai Core Banking system; we partnered with Faisal Islamic Bank of Egypt for the implementation of eMACH.ai DEP; and we collaborated with First Abu Dhabi Bank to implement our eMACH.ai  Lending solution. Those are just a few projects where we’ve been able to deliver business impact to the bank.

GF : You spoke about unstated needs. How can you identify and target the clients’ unstated needs?

Rajesh Saxena: Understanding the unstated needs of clients and the industry is crucial and requires deep domain expertise combined with a focus on human-centered solutions. Design thinking provides a structured approach to asking the right questions, allowing us to uncover these hidden needs. At Intellect, we have established a 30,000-square-foot design center at our headquarters in Chennai, India. We invite our prospects and clients to participate in various design thinking sessions held in this space. During these sessions, we encourage discussions, analyze patterns and anti-patterns, and apply prioritization theories to identify both the stated and unstated needs of our clients.

GF: How can Intellect’s distinctive delivery model ensure that digital transformation projects get delivered on time and within budget?

Akash Gupta: We have built our delivery model around two approaches which we call space and speed. Speed stands for Sprint-based eMACH enabled delivery while Space stands for Secure, Predictable, Assured, Complete, eMACH enabled delivery. These methods give us flexibility to match the execution style to what the bank really needs. Large transformational projects typically go through the space methodology, whereas the quick delivery models, or digital ones, will go through a speed execution model. In the speed model, we are not starting from scratch; we have a ready suite of offerings for the customer with a very flexible architecture, the eMACH.ai. Hence the development efforts are lower and the costs are also very predictable.

Akash Gupta, Global Delivery Head of Intellect Consumer Banking

We also keep our governance very tight with monthly, sometimes fortnightly, steering committee meetings. These meetings take place between the customers’ teams and our teams to ensure good progress and it allows for risks to be visible very early in the program.

On the execution methodology, we follow Agile and DevOps, so there is continuous integration and development. It’s a sprint-based approach, so we get a view of the delivery very early in the program, and things take place in an accelerated manner.

A very good example of this was a few years ago when we helped a new African digital bank go live on our core platform in just 16 weeks. Usually, it takes a bank a year to a year and a half.

Finally, I would say we continuously monitor cost, schedule, effort and risk.  This enforces discipline and helps us deliver projects in a timely manner and within budget. This ensures us to offer Delivery certainity to our customers from Time, Cost and quality perspective.

GF: You spoke about cost. How can Intellect manage cost controls while meeting overall project goals?

Akash Gupta: We are dealing with banks that must face global uncertainties, and to them, two things matter: cost visibility upfront and the support post “go-live”. So, we have a very transparent pricing methodology. We give the banks the pricing down to the feature level so they can choose and pick what they really need. They don’t have any hidden surprises.

But beyond pricing, really matters is the relationship. For us, it’s not just “deliver and walk away” and here I’ll give you an example: Last year we had a bank in Zimbabwe that was going to go live with our core banking transformation and four days before, the government announced a currency change. We were able to seamlessly migrate them to the new currency with no glitches. This is something even the established banks in that market were not able to achieve. It was like doing an open-heart surgery!  So, clear pricing and long-term relationship-based support are what keep us going with those kinds of uncertainties.

GF: Tell us about the continuity of operations, any examples from the advanced markets?

Akash Gupta: One of the largest e-commerce companies in Europe, offers short-term loans to its online customers. The company utilized our core banking and lending solutions, enabling the business unit to implement a comprehensive Credit Lifecycle Management system. This system features fully automated processes from loan origination to maturity, instant updates for customers and partners, flexible product configuration, and a scalable AWS EKS and Fargate infrastructure for cost-effective, on-demand scaling.

During Black Friday, the company processes close to a million loans in a single day, highlighting the importance of having scalable solutions to meet such high demand. They have achieved success year after year with our solution. This is just one of many examples of how our customers across Asia, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, and the Americas have transformed into secure, sustainable, and future-ready financial organizations.

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Why I’m Moving Money Out of High-Yield Savings in October 2025

I’ve been a big fan of high-yield savings accounts these past couple of years. Earning over 4.00% APY on completely safe, FDIC-insured cash has been a gift. But after the Federal Reserve’s September rate cut, and with another one likely coming at the end of this month, I’m starting to move a chunk of my money elsewhere.

Not because I don’t love high-yield savings accounts. I do. But because I hate watching my returns fall month after month when I could easily lock in today’s higher rates instead.

Savings account rates are heading south

When the Fed cuts rates, banks follow fast. That 4.00% APY you see on your savings account right now? It’ll probably be closer to 3.75% by November, and possibly under 3.50% by early next year if the Fed continues cutting rates.

And unlike a CD, there’s no way to “lock in” that rate. Your yield floats with the market. So while you might feel safe sitting in cash, your earning power is shrinking quietly in the background.

I’m not draining my savings completely. I still keep three to six months of expenses in a high-yield account for emergencies. But for the extra cash I won’t need soon I’m taking action before the next cut hits.

Where I’m moving the money

I’m shifting part of my savings into certificates of deposit (CDs). CDs let you lock in a guaranteed rate for a set period, typically anywhere from six months to five years.

To keep some flexibility, I’m using a CD ladder. That means splitting my money across multiple CDs with different maturity dates. A few months from now, one CD will mature, giving me access to some cash, while others keep earning higher locked-in yields. It’s a great balance between liquidity and security. Lock in a guaranteed 4.00%+ APY before the next Fed cut.

The math says it all

Let’s say you’ve got $20,000 parked in a savings account.

  • At 4.25% APY, that earns about $850 over the next year.
  • If rates slide to 3.50%, you’re suddenly earning just $700.

That’s $150 gone just for waiting. And the larger your cash balance, the more those small percentage drops sting.

Acting before the next cut

The Fed’s next meeting is scheduled for Oct. 28–29, and markets are already pricing in another 0.25% rate cut. Once that happens, banks won’t wait to slash their APYs.

That’s why I’m locking in my rates now. High-yield savings accounts have been incredible for the past two years, but this window of 4.00%+ returns is closing fast.

I’ll always keep my emergency fund in a liquid savings account. But for money I don’t need right away, I’d rather secure guaranteed returns than watch them disappear week by week.

Compare today’s top CD rates and lock in before they drop again.

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US rare earth stocks surge, European markets see mixed start


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Rare earth stocks climbed in the US after Beijing tightened its control over these critical materials, used in the vast majority of electronic devices, from smartphones and cars to ballistic missiles.

Across the Atlantic, European markets opened in a mixed mood while the Middle East peace deal progresses, brokered by US President Donald Trump.

With investors also watching political uncertainty in France, the pan-European STOXX 600 was up around 0.1% at 11.45 CEST, and Paris’ CAC 40 also gained 0.1%.

Frankfurt’s DAX and London’s FTSE 100 both slipped 0.1%, after an earlier rise for the DAX.

“The FTSE 100 was stuck in the mud as the rest of Europe ploughed ahead at the end of the trading week,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Strength in consumer stocks and utilities was offset by weakness in miners and healthcare,” he said — adding: “it was also notable that defence stocks were being sold down, including Babcock, which has rocketed this year.”

In other news, oil prices were down on Friday morning. The US benchmark crude cost around 0.4% less than at the previous close, and traded at $61.26 per barrel at around 11.45 CEST. The international benchmark Brent lost 0.49% and cost $64.90 per barrel at the same time.

Gold prices also rose after hitting new records recently, trading at $4,018.00 on Friday morning in Europe.

US futures were up slightly, the euro gained against the dollar at $1.1575, and the greenback slipped against the Japanese yen, to ¥152.7950. The British pound also fell against the dollar and cost $1.3290.

Rare earths companies gained overseas

As mining stocks led losses in Europe on Friday amid developments in Beijing, the STOXX Europe Basic Resources index shed 0.78%.

This follows a rally in the US, where rare earth stocks rose considerably after China announced that it would tighten control over its exports of these materials.

The country is dominating the market for rare earths. The world’s second-largest economy accounts for 70% of the global supply of these assets that are hugely significant for defence and technological infrastructure.

Following the news, investors in the US placed their hopes on American alternatives. US rare earth and critical mineral miners’ share prices surged on Thursday, partially due to market speculation that Washington will invest more in building out a domestic supply chain.

Many of these companies have seen their prices increase for months now, with several doubling or tripling since the beginning of the year.

USA Rare Earth Inc., a firm building a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain, gained nearly 15% on Thursday. Since January, it has risen 151%.

MP Materials Corp, an American rare-earth materials company headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, also gained more than 2.4% on Thursday, while it is up 341% since January.

Another company, Denver-based Energy Fuels Inc., gained 9.4%, bring its year-to-date rise to 284%.

NioCorp Developments, which benefits from Pentagon support, gained more than 12%, Rare Element Resources Ltd gained more than 10%, and Texas Mineral Resources Corp. gained 9.6% on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Australian rare-earth mining company Lynas Rare Earths lost nearly 3.8% in the Asian trade, and Australia’s Iluka Resources lost 3.22%.

Chinese Shenghe Resources, a partly state-owned rare earths mining and processing company listed on the Shanghai stock exchange, lost 5%.

Beijing’s measures mean that companies need to apply for a licence to export products containing certain Chinese-sourced rare earth metals.

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Is Broadcom the Next Nvidia?

Broadcom’s custom AI chips are growing in popularity.

Nvidia has been the face of the artificial intelligence (AI) race since it began in 2023. However, there’s another competitor that’s looking to take over Nvidia’s leadership role: Broadcom (AVGO -0.26%).

While Broadcom has its fingers in many parts of tech, its most promising segment is its AI chip business, and it’s growing rapidly. Broadcom is already a $1.6 trillion company, but could it find its way near the top and become the next Nvidia? Let’s take a look.

Broadcom’s custom AI accelerators are a GPU alternative

Broadcom’s AI semiconductor division gets its revenue from two primary sources: Custom AI accelerators and connectivity switches. Broadcom’s connectivity switches, like the Tomahawk3, are used in data centers to stitch workloads back together after they have been split up to be processed among multiple computing units. This makes Broadcom’s connectivity switches vital for data centers, regardless of what computing unit is being used.

This product line has seen strong growth, but it’s nothing compared to the potential of Broadcom’s custom AI accelerator chips, which it calls XPUs. Broadcom’s XPUs are designed in collaboration with end users to ensure the architecture is suited for the workloads it will see. By designing a custom chip around a specific workload for each client, XPUs can have greater performance than Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs). Additionally, because the end user is working directly with Broadcom, these units are far cheaper than anything from Nvidia.

The combination of better performance at a lower cost is a no-brainer, and that’s why companies like Alphabet and Meta Platforms have allegedly (Broadcom doesn’t reveal who its XPU clients are) invested heavily in their XPUs. Additionally, it announced that a new client placed an order for $10 billion worth of XPUs. This has been linked to OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, giving Broadcom the status of providing computing units for nearly all of the top generative AI models.

So, is Broadcom set to replace Nvidia?

Nvidia still has more to gain from the AI buildout than Broadcom does

The reality is that these AI hyperscalers know what their AI workloads will look like. However, cloud infrastructure companies, like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, must continue purchasing Nvidia GPUs because clients want flexibility. Furthermore, if one of the AI hyperscalers wants to try something different to run workloads in a new way, they’ll need the flexibility of a GPU.

So, Nvidia isn’t going away, but I’d expect Broadcom’s chips to become far more popular over the next few years. We’re already seeing that now, as Nvidia’s data center revenue rose 56% year over year while Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue rose 63%. Broadcom will need to maintain that quicker growth pace if it is to rise to be in true competition with Nvidia, but with how rapidly demand for XPUs is growing, I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s the case.

During its third-quarter fiscal year 2025 (ending Aug. 3) announcement, Broadcom predicted that it would generate $6.2 billion in AI semiconductor revenue during the fourth quarter, up from $5.2 billion in Q3. That’s rapid quarter-over-quarter growth, but it is still slower than Nvidia’s peak growth pace last year.

Time will tell how well Broadcom’s XPUs do, but I’d wager that Broadcom’s AI semiconductor division will grow faster than Nvidia for the foreseeable future. However, because Broadcom is far more diversified than Nvidia, it won’t deliver the same explosive growth. Despite its AI semiconductor revenue growing at a 63% pace, Broadcom’s overall revenue increased at a 22% pace during Q3. Nearly all of Nvidia’s revenue comes from data centers, and its 56% data center growth pace was identical to its overall revenue growth rate.

As a result, Nvidia still looks like the better stock pick here. It’s more exposed to the AI data center buildout trend, as long as that spending holds up. With AI hyperscalers all announcing record capital expenditure for 2026, I think it’s safe to assume that this trend will continue. Although Broadcom is an excellent pick, I still think Nvidia will outperform it through 2026.

Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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