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Asia shares rise on trade hopes, oil slips after Russia sanctions

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Asian equities advanced on Friday as improving sentiment around U.S.-China trade relations and upbeat corporate earnings from Wall Street lifted investor confidence. The White House confirmed that President Donald Trump will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping next week during Trump’s Asia tour, raising hopes of progress before the looming November 1 tariff deadline. Japan’s Nikkei index surged ahead of a key policy speech by new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who is expected to announce a stimulus plan to support growth. Meanwhile, oil prices, which had risen earlier in the week after Washington imposed new sanctions on Russian energy majors Rosneft and Lukoil, slipped slightly as traders took profits and weighed potential supply disruptions.

Why It Matters

The market rally reflects cautious optimism that diplomatic engagement between Washington and Beijing could prevent further escalation in trade tensions, which have weighed on global growth. With the U.S. government shutdown delaying most official data releases, Friday’s consumer price index report has taken on added importance for investors seeking clues about inflation and the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. In Japan, inflation data showing a 2.9% rise in core consumer prices has kept expectations alive for a near-term rate hike, a significant shift after years of loose monetary policy. Energy markets, meanwhile, remain on edge as U.S. sanctions on Russian oil producers threaten to tighten global supply chains, potentially reshaping energy flows and impacting prices worldwide.

The unfolding developments are being closely watched by a range of global actors. The U.S. and China remain the principal players in the trade negotiations, with their decisions likely to shape market confidence in the weeks ahead. The Federal Reserve faces pressure to balance inflation control with growth stability as it prepares for its policy meeting next week. Japan’s new leadership under Takaichi is navigating a delicate mix of economic reform and inflation management. Global investors and multinational corporations are also directly affected, as currency movements, oil volatility, and trade uncertainty feed into market strategies and investment decisions.

What’s Next

Attention now turns to the release of U.S. CPI data, expected to hold at 3.1%, which will help guide the Fed’s next policy move amid limited economic visibility caused by the shutdown. The scheduled Trump–Xi meeting in Malaysia next week could determine whether Washington proceeds with additional tariffs on Chinese imports or opts for a temporary truce. Japan’s fiscal policy announcements later today may also set the tone for regional growth in the final quarter of the year. In energy markets, traders will be watching Russia’s response to the sanctions and any signs of supply re-routing that could influence oil prices in the short term.

With information from Reuters.

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